This study introduces a custom implementation of the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) for calibrating a three-dimensional glacier evolution model. The EnKF can assimilate observations as they become available and provides uncertainty measures for the initial state after calibration. We calibrate an elevation-dependent surface mass balance (SMB) model using elevation change observations and test the EnKF’s performance in a Twin Experiment by varying internal and external hyperparameters. The best-performing configuration is applied to the Rhône Glacier in a Real-World Experiment. Using satellite-based elevation change fields for calibration, the EnKF estimates an average equilibrium line altitude of 2920 ± 37 m for the period 2000–2019. A comparison of the results with glaciological measurements demonstrates the capabilities of the EnKF to simultaneously calibrate multiple SMB parameters. With this proof of concept, we expect that our methodology is readily extendable to other map or point observations and their combination, as well as to other calibration parameters.
Publication available on: https://doi.org/10.1017/aog.2025.10020
This study introduces a custom implementation of the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) for calibrating a three-dimensional glacier evolution model. The EnKF can assimilate observations as they become available and provides uncertainty measures for the initial state after calibration. We calibrate an elevation-dependent surface mass balance (SMB) model using elevation change observations and test the EnKF’s performance in a Twin Experiment by varying internal and external hyperparameters. The best-performing configuration is applied to the Rhône Glacier in a Real-World Experiment. Using satellite-based elevation change fields for calibration, the EnKF estimates an average equilibrium line altitude of 2920 ± 37 m for the period 2000–2019. A comparison of the results with glaciological measurements demonstrates the capabilities of the EnKF to simultaneously calibrate multiple SMB parameters. With this proof of concept, we expect that our methodology is readily extendable to other map or point observations and their combination, as well as to other calibration parameters.
Publication available on: https://doi.org/10.1017/aog.2025.10020